Dashboard / Plays / Sun & Moon Era / Charizard-GX · PSA

Charizard-GX Burning Shadows #20 card image
88 STRONG PLAY Pokémon Sun & Moon Era

Charizard-GX

Burning Shadows · #20 · PSA Regular tier

Raw $25.00
Net profit +$201
ROI +806%
PSA
PSA Regular tier · $25 grading · 65-day turnaround
Comp price $380
Less raw cost −$25
Less PSA Regular fee −$25
Less return shipping −$12
Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) −$51
NET +$267
ROI +1,069%
Probability-weighted: (69.6% × +$267) + (25.5% × +$59) + (5.0% × +$7) = +$201
The headline net profit. Any single submission lands in one of the three scenarios above. How we compute these →

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Pop velocity

Total population 3,220
Grade 10 count 2,240
30-day Δ +2 (+0.1%)

Analysis

Charizard-GX sits in Burning Shadows, part of the Sun & Moon Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $25.00 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 88/100 — STRONG PLAY. The math: $304 expected value at PSA Regular tier, less raw cost $25, less $25 grading fee, less $12 return shipping, less $41 eBay fee = +$201 net per copy. ROI works out to 806% on the raw cost basis.

PSA Regular tier turnaround runs about 65 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +4524% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop velocity is muted (0.1% in 30d), which I read as a positive signal — the gem-rate denominator isn't ballooning, so existing PSA 10 comps should hold.

Sourcing raw: this is a sub-$100 card, so eBay BIN under your raw target ($25.00) is the play. Look for "Near Mint" listings with sharp corners and centered art. Skip anything described as "Played" or "Light Play" unless the price is below the below-9 comp of $80.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 65 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. For comparable plays in the same era, look at Charizard-GX and Charizard-GX. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

Comparable plays in this era

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