Dashboard / Plays / Sun & Moon Era / Charizard-GX · CGC

Charizard-GX Burning Shadows #20 card image
85 STRONG PLAY Pokémon Sun & Moon Era

Charizard-GX

Burning Shadows · #20 · CGC Standard tier

Raw $25.00
Net profit +$133
ROI +532%
CGC
CGC Standard tier · $25 grading · 30-day turnaround
Comp price $300
Less raw cost −$25
Less CGC Standard fee −$25
Less return shipping −$10
Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) −$40
NET +$200
ROI +800%
Probability-weighted: (61.0% × +$200) + (32.2% × +$35) + (6.8% × −$4) = +$133
The headline net profit. Any single submission lands in one of the three scenarios above. How we compute these →

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Same card, other graders. Each link opens that grader's full breakdown.

Pop velocity

Total population 1,180
Grade 10 count 720
30-day Δ +2 (+0.3%)

Analysis

Charizard-GX sits in Burning Shadows, part of the Sun & Moon Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $25.00 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 85/100 — STRONG PLAY. The math: $223 expected value at CGC Standard tier, less raw cost $25, less $25 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $30 eBay fee = +$133 net per copy. ROI works out to 532% on the raw cost basis.

CGC Standard tier turnaround runs about 30 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +6475% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop velocity is muted (0.3% in 30d), which I read as a positive signal — the gem-rate denominator isn't ballooning, so existing PSA 10 comps should hold.

Sourcing raw: this is a sub-$100 card, so eBay BIN under your raw target ($25.00) is the play. Look for "Near Mint" listings with sharp corners and centered art. Skip anything described as "Played" or "Light Play" unless the price is below the below-9 comp of $65.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 30 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. For comparable plays in the same era, look at Charizard-GX and Charizard-GX. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

Comparable plays in this era

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