Dashboard / Plays / Sun & Moon Era / Charizard-GX · BGS

Charizard-GX Burning Shadows #20 card image
79 PLAY Pokémon Sun & Moon Era

Charizard-GX

Burning Shadows · #20 · BGS Standard tier

Raw $25.00
Net profit +$46
ROI +185%
Not currently eligible — net profit below the $50 floor. The data is here for transparency — the math doesn't currently make this a play.
BGS
BGS Standard tier · $50 grading · 20-day turnaround
Comp price $280
Less raw cost −$25
Less BGS Standard fee −$50
Less return shipping −$10
Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) −$37
NET +$158
ROI +630%
Probability-weighted: (22.2% × +$158) + (58.3% × +$27) + (19.4% × −$25) = +$46
The headline net profit. Any single submission lands in one of the three scenarios above. How we compute these →

Compare graders

Same card, other graders. Each link opens that grader's full breakdown.

Pop velocity

Total population 720
Grade 10 count 160
30-day Δ +2 (+1.3%)

Analysis

Charizard-GX sits in Burning Shadows, part of the Sun & Moon Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $25.00 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 79/100 — PLAY. The math: $152 expected value at BGS Standard tier, less raw cost $25, less $50 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $20 eBay fee = +$46 net per copy. ROI works out to 185% on the raw cost basis.

BGS Standard tier turnaround runs about 20 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +3377% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop velocity is muted (1.3% in 30d), which I read as a positive signal — the gem-rate denominator isn't ballooning, so existing PSA 10 comps should hold.

Sourcing raw: this is a sub-$100 card, so eBay BIN under your raw target ($25.00) is the play. Look for "Near Mint" listings with sharp corners and centered art. Skip anything described as "Played" or "Light Play" unless the price is below the below-9 comp of $70.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 20 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. For comparable plays in the same era, look at Charizard-GX and Charizard-GX. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

Comparable plays in this era

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