Decision tool

Pack & Box EV Calculator

Should you rip this or resell sealed? We compute the expected dollar value of pulls (per-rarity pull rates × current TCGplayer market prices) and compare to spot. Negative delta means reselling sealed wins.

Choose a product

Elite Trainer Box

Surging Sparks · 9 packs · released 2024-11

Current spot $105

Expected pull value $40

EV vs spot −$65.21

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$65.21 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.08	$4
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.09	$2
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.23	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$1.28	$2
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$3.64	$4
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$7.62	$7
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$73.39	$17
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$20.82	$2

Booster Box

Surging Sparks · 36 packs · released 2024-11

Current spot $251

Expected pull value $159

EV vs spot −$92.36

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$92.36 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.08	$14
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.09	$10
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.23	$8
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$1.28	$9
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$3.64	$14
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$7.62	$27
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$73.39	$66
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$20.82	$8

Elite Trainer Box

Stellar Crown · 9 packs · released 2024-09

Current spot $122

Expected pull value $45

EV vs spot −$77.52

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$77.52 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.10	$5
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.08	$2
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.19	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$1.05	$2
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$3.40	$3
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$23.89	$22
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$36.82	$8
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$9.15	$1

Booster Box

Stellar Crown · 36 packs · released 2024-09

Current spot $278

Expected pull value $178

EV vs spot −$99.42

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$99.42 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.10	$18
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.08	$9
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.19	$7
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$1.05	$8
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$3.40	$13
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$23.89	$86
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$36.82	$33
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$9.15	$4

Elite Trainer Box

Twilight Masquerade · 9 packs · released 2024-05

Current spot $89

Expected pull value $48

EV vs spot −$40.38

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$40.38 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.11	$5
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.11	$3
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.31	$3
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$1.23	$2
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$4.41	$4
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$14.84	$13
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$74.51	$17
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$7.60	$1

Booster Box

Twilight Masquerade · 36 packs · released 2024-05

Current spot $285

Expected pull value $193

EV vs spot −$91.94

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$91.94 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.11	$20
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.11	$12
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.31	$11
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$1.23	$9
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$4.41	$17
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$14.84	$53
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$74.51	$67
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$7.60	$3

Elite Trainer Box

Temporal Forces · 9 packs · released 2024-03

Current spot —

Expected pull value $50

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.13	$6
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.14	$4
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.26	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$1.21	$2
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$5.95	$6
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$23.03	$21
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$35.64	$8
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$9.52	$1

Booster Box

Temporal Forces · 36 packs · released 2024-03

Current spot $280

Expected pull value $200

EV vs spot −$80.35

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$80.35 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.13	$23
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.14	$15
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.26	$9
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$1.21	$9
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$5.95	$24
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$23.03	$83
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$35.64	$32
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$9.52	$4

Elite Trainer Box

Paradox Rift · 9 packs · released 2023-11

Current spot —

Expected pull value $37

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.11	$5
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.14	$4
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.23	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$0.94	$2
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$2.90	$3
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$18.35	$17
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$19.84	$4
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$5.30	$1

Booster Box

Paradox Rift · 36 packs · released 2023-11

Current spot $267

Expected pull value $148

EV vs spot −$119.04

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$119.04 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.11	$20
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.14	$15
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.23	$8
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$0.94	$7
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$2.90	$11
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$18.35	$66
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$19.84	$18
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$5.30	$2

Elite Trainer Box

Obsidian Flames · 9 packs · released 2023-08

Current spot $250

Expected pull value $39

EV vs spot −$210.70

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$210.70 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.12	$5
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.14	$4
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.23	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$1.31	$2
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$3.51	$3
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$16.85	$15
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$23.71	$5
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$17.50	$2

Booster Box

Obsidian Flames · 36 packs · released 2023-08

Current spot $354

Expected pull value $157

EV vs spot −$196.64

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$196.64 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.12	$22
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.14	$15
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.23	$8
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$1.31	$9
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$3.51	$14
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$16.85	$61
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$23.71	$21
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$17.50	$7

Elite Trainer Box

Paldea Evolved · 9 packs · released 2023-06

Current spot $175

Expected pull value $55

EV vs spot −$120.26

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$120.26 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.12	$5
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.13	$4
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.22	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$1.04	$2
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$3.83	$4
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$35.66	$32
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$24.68	$6
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$6.20	$1

Booster Box

Paldea Evolved · 36 packs · released 2023-06

Current spot $445

Expected pull value $221

EV vs spot −$224.43

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$224.43 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.12	$22
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.13	$14
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.22	$8
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$1.04	$7
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$3.83	$15
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$35.66	$128
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$24.68	$22
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$6.20	$2

Elite Trainer Box

Scarlet & Violet · 9 packs · released 2023-03

Current spot —

Expected pull value $38

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	45.00	$0.11	$5
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	$0.12	$3
Rare	1.000	9.00	$0.24	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.97	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	1.80	$0.76	$1
Ultra Rare	0.110	0.99	$3.44	$3
Illustration Rare	0.100	0.90	$19.57	$18
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.23	$20.84	$5
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.10	$6.05	$1

Booster Box

Scarlet & Violet · 36 packs · released 2023-03

Current spot —

Expected pull value $152

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.11	$20
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.12	$13
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.24	$9
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Double Rare	0.200	7.20	$0.76	$5
Ultra Rare	0.110	3.96	$3.44	$14
Illustration Rare	0.100	3.60	$19.57	$70
Special Illustration Rare	0.025	0.90	$20.84	$19
Hyper Rare	0.011	0.40	$6.05	$2

Elite Trainer Box

Crown Zenith · 10 packs · released 2023-01

Current spot $310

Expected pull value $45

EV vs spot −$264.77

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$264.77 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	50.00	$0.09	$5
Uncommon	3.000	30.00	$0.09	$3
Rare	1.000	10.00	$0.26	$3
Holo Rare	0.330	3.30	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	1.80	$2.16	$4
Rare Holo VMAX	0.110	1.10	$5.05	$6
Rare Secret	0.050	0.50	$51.57	$26
Trainer Gallery	0.100	1.00	—	—

Booster Box

Crown Zenith · 30 packs · released 2023-01

Current spot —

Expected pull value $136

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	150.00	$0.09	$14
Uncommon	3.000	90.00	$0.09	$8
Rare	1.000	30.00	$0.26	$8
Holo Rare	0.330	9.90	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	5.40	$2.16	$12
Rare Holo VMAX	0.110	3.30	$5.05	$17
Rare Secret	0.050	1.50	$51.57	$77
Trainer Gallery	0.100	3.00	—	—

Elite Trainer Box

Silver Tempest · 8 packs · released 2022-11

Current spot $126

Expected pull value $14

EV vs spot −$111.61

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$111.61 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	40.00	$0.11	$4
Uncommon	3.000	24.00	$0.11	$3
Rare	1.000	8.00	$0.18	$1
Holo Rare	0.330	2.64	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	1.44	$1.90	$3
Rare Holo VMAX	0.060	0.48	$1.45	$1
Rare Holo VSTAR	0.050	0.40	$2.27	$1
Trainer Gallery	0.100	0.80	—	—
Rare Secret	0.025	0.20	$7.69	$2

Booster Box

Silver Tempest · 36 packs · released 2022-11

Current spot $456

Expected pull value $65

EV vs spot −$391.24

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$391.24 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.11	$20
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.11	$12
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.18	$6
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	6.48	$1.90	$12
Rare Holo VMAX	0.060	2.16	$1.45	$3
Rare Holo VSTAR	0.050	1.80	$2.27	$4
Trainer Gallery	0.100	3.60	—	—
Rare Secret	0.025	0.90	$7.69	$7

Elite Trainer Box

Lost Origin · 8 packs · released 2022-09

Current spot $190

Expected pull value $14

EV vs spot −$175.89

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$175.89 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	40.00	$0.14	$6
Uncommon	3.000	24.00	$0.11	$3
Rare	1.000	8.00	$0.19	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.64	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	1.44	$0.89	$1
Rare Holo VMAX	0.060	0.48	$2.46	$1
Rare Holo VSTAR	0.050	0.40	$1.50	$1
Trainer Gallery	0.100	0.80	—	—
Rare Secret	0.025	0.20	$5.52	$1

Booster Box

Lost Origin · 36 packs · released 2022-09

Current spot $744

Expected pull value $63

EV vs spot −$680.51

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$680.51 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.14	$25
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.11	$12
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.19	$7
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	6.48	$0.89	$6
Rare Holo VMAX	0.060	2.16	$2.46	$5
Rare Holo VSTAR	0.050	1.80	$1.50	$3
Trainer Gallery	0.100	3.60	—	—
Rare Secret	0.025	0.90	$5.52	$5

Elite Trainer Box

Astral Radiance · 8 packs · released 2022-05

Current spot $114

Expected pull value $16

EV vs spot −$98.57

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$98.57 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	40.00	$0.13	$5
Uncommon	3.000	24.00	$0.14	$3
Rare	1.000	8.00	$0.22	$2
Holo Rare	0.330	2.64	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	1.44	$1.08	$2
Rare Holo VMAX	0.060	0.48	$3.93	$2
Rare Holo VSTAR	0.050	0.40	$1.66	$1
Trainer Gallery	0.100	0.80	—	—
Rare Secret	0.025	0.20	$5.84	$1

Booster Box

Astral Radiance · 36 packs · released 2022-05

Current spot $355

Expected pull value $70

EV vs spot −$285.06

📦 Resell sealed — reselling avoids +$285.06 expected loss

⚠ Partial data · some rarities pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	5.000	180.00	$0.13	$23
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	$0.14	$15
Rare	1.000	36.00	$0.22	$8
Holo Rare	0.330	11.88	—	—
Rare Holo V	0.180	6.48	$1.08	$7
Rare Holo VMAX	0.060	2.16	$3.93	$8
Rare Holo VSTAR	0.050	1.80	$1.66	$3
Trainer Gallery	0.100	3.60	—	—
Rare Secret	0.025	0.90	$5.84	$5

Collector Booster Box

Modern Horizons 3 · 12 packs · released 2024-06

Current spot —

Expected pull value —

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⏳ Pull-rate data pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	10.000	120.00	—	—
Uncommon	3.000	36.00	—	—
Rare	0.875	10.50	—	—
Mythic Rare	0.125	1.50	—	—
Foil	0.330	3.96	—	—
Special Guest	0.050	0.60	—	—

Play Booster Box

Modern Horizons 3 · 36 packs · released 2024-06

Current spot —

Expected pull value —

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⏳ Pull-rate data pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	10.000	360.00	—	—
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	—	—
Rare	0.875	31.50	—	—
Mythic Rare	0.125	4.50	—	—
Foil	0.330	11.88	—	—
Special Guest	0.050	1.80	—	—

Draft Booster Box

March of the Machine · 36 packs · released 2023-04

Current spot $179

Expected pull value —

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⏳ Pull-rate data pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	10.000	360.00	—	—
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	—	—
Rare	0.875	31.50	—	—
Mythic Rare	0.125	4.50	—	—
Foil	0.330	11.88	—	—
Multiverse Legend	0.100	3.60	—	—

Bundle

March of the Machine · 9 packs · released 2023-04

Current spot —

Expected pull value —

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⏳ Pull-rate data pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	10.000	90.00	—	—
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	—	—
Rare	0.875	7.88	—	—
Mythic Rare	0.125	1.13	—	—
Foil	0.330	2.97	—	—
Multiverse Legend	0.100	0.90	—	—

Draft Booster Box

Dominaria United · 36 packs · released 2022-09

Current spot $228

Expected pull value —

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⏳ Pull-rate data pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	10.000	360.00	—	—
Uncommon	3.000	108.00	—	—
Rare	0.875	31.50	—	—
Mythic Rare	0.125	4.50	—	—
Foil	0.330	11.88	—	—
Legendary Creature	0.100	3.60	—	—

Bundle

Dominaria United · 9 packs · released 2022-09

Current spot —

Expected pull value —

EV vs spot —

⏳ Pull-rate data pending — verdict activates once seed is verified.

⏳ Pull-rate data pending

Per-rarity breakdown

Rarity	Per pack	Per box	Avg market	Contribution to EV
Common	10.000	90.00	—	—
Uncommon	3.000	27.00	—	—
Rare	0.875	7.88	—	—
Mythic Rare	0.125	1.13	—	—
Foil	0.330	2.97	—	—
Legendary Creature	0.100	0.90	—	—

Ripping math methodology

For each rarity tier in the set, we look up the average current TCGplayer market price across all cards of that rarity (live via Pokémon TCG API and Scryfall). Multiply by expected count per pack (from pull-rate seed). Sum across rarities = expected pull value per pack. Multiply by packs per box, subtract current spot.

What this calculation does NOT include:

Variance. Any single box can be far above or below expected value. EV is an arithmetic mean across many boxes.
Grading upside. Pulled chase cards may grade PSA 10 and sell for the gem premium. Raw market price excludes that.
Personal preference. Some collectors get non-monetary value from the opening experience itself.

Pull rates default to BETA · seeded — hand-transcribed from public box-break data. See methodology for the broader data-provenance model.