Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box

Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.

Current spot price

$190.00

Last refresh May 2026

Total return since MSRP

+322.2%

SPXTR +112.2% · alpha +210.0 pp

Annualized CAGR

48.43%

SPXTR 22.92%

3.7-year horizon

Weekly volume

—

Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration

Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box vs S&P 500 (TR)

Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.

Booster box
S&P 500 Total Return

Historical sealed prices reflect PriceCharting median sold comps. Single high-comp transactions on thin markets can produce volatility — we publish the same data a serious investor would want to read.

$1,000 invested at MSRP

If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.

Booster box

22.2 boxes

$4,222

+322.2% · CAGR 48.43%

S&P 500 (TR)

10.00 units indexed

$2,122

+112.2% · CAGR 22.92%

Alpha: + $2,100 (+210.0 pp)

Box → Singles

Grading economics — coming soon.

Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.

The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.

Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.

Disclosures

Returns shown ignore storage / insurance / liquidity friction (~1-2% per year).
Spot prices come from PriceCharting median sold comps (booster box) and TCGplayer (some products); see methodology.
The S&P 500 Total Return series (^SP500TR) is provided monthly via Yahoo Finance, with FRED's daily price-only series used elsewhere on the site.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.