Dashboard / Plays / Single-Set Era / Wrenn and Six · CGC

Wrenn and Six Modern Horizons #217 card image
81 STRONG PLAY MTG Single-Set Era

Wrenn and Six

Modern Horizons · #217 · CGC Standard tier

Raw $22.52
Net profit +$64
ROI +283%
CGC
CGC Standard tier · $25 grading · 30-day turnaround
Comp price $260
Less raw cost −$23
Less CGC Standard fee −$25
Less return shipping −$10
Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) −$35
NET +$168
ROI +745%
Probability-weighted: (20.6% × +$168) + (61.8% × +$46) + (17.6% × +$3) = +$64
The headline net profit. Any single submission lands in one of the three scenarios above. How we compute these →

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Pop velocity

Total population 680
Grade 10 count 140
30-day Δ +2 (+1.4%)

Analysis

Wrenn and Six sits in Modern Horizons, part of the Single-Set Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $22.52 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 81/100 — STRONG PLAY. The math: $140 expected value at CGC Standard tier, less raw cost $23, less $25 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $19 eBay fee = +$64 net per copy. ROI works out to 283% on the raw cost basis.

CGC Standard tier turnaround runs about 30 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +3438% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop velocity is muted (1.4% in 30d), which I read as a positive signal — the gem-rate denominator isn't ballooning, so existing PSA 10 comps should hold.

Sourcing raw: this is a sub-$100 card, so eBay BIN under your raw target ($22.52) is the play. Look for "Near Mint" listings with sharp corners and centered art. Skip anything described as "Played" or "Light Play" unless the price is below the below-9 comp of $70.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 30 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

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