Dashboard / Plays / Single-Set Era / Wrenn and Six · BGS

Wrenn and Six Modern Horizons #217 card image
76 PLAY MTG Single-Set Era

Wrenn and Six

Modern Horizons · #217 · BGS Standard tier

Raw $22.52
Net profit +$26
ROI +116%
Not currently eligible — net profit below the $50 floor. The data is here for transparency — the math doesn't currently make this a play.
BGS
BGS Standard tier · $50 grading · 20-day turnaround
Comp price $240
Less raw cost −$23
Less BGS Standard fee −$50
Less return shipping −$10
Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) −$32
NET +$125
ROI +557%
Probability-weighted: (7.1% × +$125) + (70.6% × +$30) + (22.4% × −$18) = +$26
The headline net profit. Any single submission lands in one of the three scenarios above. How we compute these →

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Pop velocity

Total population 255
Grade 10 count 18
30-day Δ +2 (+12.5%)

Analysis

Wrenn and Six sits in Modern Horizons, part of the Single-Set Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $22.52 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 76/100 — PLAY. The math: $125 expected value at BGS Standard tier, less raw cost $23, less $50 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $17 eBay fee = +$26 net per copy. ROI works out to 116% on the raw cost basis.

BGS Standard tier turnaround runs about 20 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +2109% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop is growing modestly — +13% Grade 10s in the last 30 days. Not a saturation alarm, but worth tracking. Honestly, the call gets clearer with another month of pop data.

Sourcing raw: this is a sub-$100 card, so eBay BIN under your raw target ($22.52) is the play. Look for "Near Mint" listings with sharp corners and centered art. Skip anything described as "Played" or "Light Play" unless the price is below the below-9 comp of $75.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 20 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

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