Dashboard / Plays / WOTC Era / Charizard (1st Edition Holographic) · CGC

Charizard (1st Edition Holographic) Base1 1Ed #4 card image
48 CONSIDER Pokémon WOTC Era

Charizard (1st Edition Holographic)

Base1 1Ed · #4 · CGC Standard tier

Raw $5,500
Net profit +$540
ROI +10%
Not currently eligible — pop velocity exceeds 75% over 30 days (saturation risk). The data is here for transparency — the math doesn't currently make this a play.
CGC
CGC Standard tier · $25 grading · 30-day turnaround
Comp price $49,000
Less raw cost −$5,500
Less CGC Standard fee −$25
Less return shipping −$10
Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) −$6,493
NET +$36,972
ROI +672%
Probability-weighted: (1.1% × +$36,972) + (63.2% × +$2,099) + (35.8% × −$3,280) = +$540
The headline net profit. Any single submission lands in one of the three scenarios above. How we compute these →

Compare graders

Same card, other graders. Each link opens that grader's full breakdown.

Pop velocity

Total population 380
Grade 10 count 4
30-day Δ +2 (+100.0%)

Saturation warning: Grade 10 pop grew >50% in the last 30 days. The market may already be absorbing supply faster than demand — consider this when sizing.

Analysis

Charizard (1st Edition Holographic) sits in Base1 1Ed, part of the WOTC Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $5,500 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 48/100 — CONSIDER. The math: $7,003 expected value at CGC Standard tier, less raw cost $5,500, less $25 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $928 eBay fee = +$540 net per copy. ROI works out to 10% on the raw cost basis.

CGC Standard tier turnaround runs about 30 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +119% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop velocity worth flagging: Grade 10 population grew 100% in the trailing 30 days. Hard to call where this trends if a major submitter wave continues, but I'd price in saturation risk on top of the raw economics.

Sourcing raw: high-end card. Don't buy without seeing high-resolution scans of every edge and the surface. Comp $5,500 is your ceiling — bid below it to leave room for grading risk. Auction houses (PWCC, Goldin) sell raw copies of cards in this range with provenance.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 30 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. For comparable plays in the same era, look at Charizard (Skyridge Crystal Holo). Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

Comparable plays in this era

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