Dashboard / Plays / WOTC Era / Charizard (1st Edition Holographic) · BGS

Charizard (1st Edition Holographic) Base1 1Ed #4 card image
62 PLAY Pokémon WOTC Era

Charizard (1st Edition Holographic)

Base1 1Ed · #4 · BGS Standard tier

Raw $5,500
Net profit +$1,402
ROI +25%
Not currently eligible — ROI below the 30% floor. The data is here for transparency — the math doesn't currently make this a play.
BGS
BGS Standard tier · $50 grading · 20-day turnaround
Comp price $58,000
Less raw cost −$5,500
Less BGS Standard fee −$50
Less return shipping −$10
Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) −$7,685
NET +$44,755
ROI +814%
Probability-weighted: (1.8% × +$44,755) + (63.2% × +$2,681) + (35.0% × −$3,131) = +$1,402
The headline net profit. Any single submission lands in one of the three scenarios above. How we compute these →

Compare graders

Same card, other graders. Each link opens that grader's full breakdown.

Pop velocity

Total population 665
Grade 10 count 12
30-day Δ +2 (+20.0%)

Analysis

Charizard (1st Edition Holographic) sits in Base1 1Ed, part of the WOTC Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $5,500 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 62/100 — PLAY. The math: $8,025 expected value at BGS Standard tier, less raw cost $5,500, less $50 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $1,064 eBay fee = +$1,402 net per copy. ROI works out to 25% on the raw cost basis.

BGS Standard tier turnaround runs about 20 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +465% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop is growing modestly — +20% Grade 10s in the last 30 days. Not a saturation alarm, but worth tracking. Honestly, the call gets clearer with another month of pop data.

Sourcing raw: high-end card. Don't buy without seeing high-resolution scans of every edge and the surface. Comp $5,500 is your ceiling — bid below it to leave room for grading risk. Auction houses (PWCC, Goldin) sell raw copies of cards in this range with provenance.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 20 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. For comparable plays in the same era, look at Charizard (Skyridge Crystal Holo). Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

Comparable plays in this era

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