Pokémon Sword & Shield Era · etb ·Released Feb 19, 2021 ·MSRP $45.00
Buy on TCGplayer → (affiliate ID pending)

Shining Fates Elite Trainer Box

Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.

Current spot price
$124.97
Last refresh May 2026
Total return since MSRP
+177.7%
SPXTR +104.4% · alpha +73.3 pp
Annualized CAGR
21.71%
SPXTR 14.74%
5.2-year horizon
Weekly volume
Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration

Shining Fates Elite Trainer Box vs S&P 500 (TR)

Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.
56115175235294 2021-022022-032023-032024-042025-042026-05 Bear market begins (2022)
  • Booster box
  • S&P 500 Total Return
Historical sealed prices reflect PriceCharting median sold comps. Single high-comp transactions on thin markets can produce volatility — we publish the same data a serious investor would want to read.

$1,000 invested at MSRP

If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.
Booster box
22.2 boxes
$2,777
+177.7% · CAGR 21.71%
S&P 500 (TR)
10.00 units indexed
$2,044
+104.4% · CAGR 14.74%
Alpha: + $733 (+73.3 pp)

Box → Singles

Grading economics — coming soon.

Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.

The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.

Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.

Disclosures