Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster Box

Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.

Current spot price

$199.99

Last refresh May 2026

Total return since MSRP

+66.7%

SPXTR +76.3% · alpha -9.6 pp

Annualized CAGR

11.28%

SPXTR 12.59%

4.8-year horizon

Weekly volume

—

Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster Box vs S&P 500 (TR)

Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.

Booster box
S&P 500 Total Return

Historical sealed prices reflect PriceCharting median sold comps. Single high-comp transactions on thin markets can produce volatility — we publish the same data a serious investor would want to read.

$1,000 invested at MSRP

If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.

Booster box

8.3 boxes

$1,667

+66.7% · CAGR 11.28%

S&P 500 (TR)

10.00 units indexed

$1,763

+76.3% · CAGR 12.59%

Alpha: $-96 (-9.6 pp)

Box → Singles

Grading economics — coming soon.

Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.

The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.

Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.

Disclosures

Returns shown ignore storage / insurance / liquidity friction (~1-2% per year).
Spot prices come from PriceCharting median sold comps (booster box) and TCGplayer (some products); see methodology.
The S&P 500 Total Return series (^SP500TR) is provided monthly via Yahoo Finance, with FRED's daily price-only series used elsewhere on the site.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.