Charizard (Shadowless Holographic)
Base1 Shadowless · #4 · BGS Standard tier
| Comp price | $7,500 |
| Less raw cost | −$1,200 |
| Less BGS Standard fee | −$50 |
| Less return shipping | −$10 |
| Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) | −$994 |
| NET | +$5,246 |
| ROI | +437% |
| Comp price | $1,700 |
| Less raw cost | −$1,200 |
| Less BGS Standard fee | −$50 |
| Less return shipping | −$10 |
| Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) | −$226 |
| NET | +$214 |
| ROI | +18% |
| Comp price | $600 |
| Less raw cost | −$1,200 |
| Less BGS Standard fee | −$50 |
| Less return shipping | −$10 |
| Less eBay fee (13.25% + $0.30) | −$80 |
| NET | −$740 |
| ROI | −62% |
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Pop velocity
Analysis
Charizard (Shadowless Holographic) sits in Base1 Shadowless. Raw spot is $1,200 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 4, 2026.
I'm scoring this a 45/100 — CONSIDER. The math: $1,479 expected value at BGS Standard tier, less raw cost $1,200, less $50 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $196 eBay fee = +$23 net per copy. ROI works out to 2% on the raw cost basis.
BGS Standard tier turnaround runs about 20 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +34% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.
Pop is growing modestly — +20% Grade 10s in the last 30 days. Not a saturation alarm, but worth tracking. Honestly, the call gets clearer with another month of pop data.
Sourcing raw: high-end card. Don't buy without seeing high-resolution scans of every edge and the surface. Comp $1,200 is your ceiling — bid below it to leave room for grading risk. Auction houses (PWCC, Goldin) sell raw copies of cards in this range with provenance.
Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 20 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.
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