Charizard-GX

Charizard-GX comes out of Hidden Fates Shiny Vault, which I've slotted into the modern era on Cardboard Assets.

Raw spot sits at $625 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp. The last documented sale closed at $627 on 2026-05-02, so the market's barely moved since. The trailing 90-day sample is 78 comps, which I'd call robust.

PSA has graded 2,400 copies of this card. The Grade 10 rate is 53.3%, Grade 9 lands 38.3%. PSA 10 / PSA 9 spread is $380, with PSA 10 trading at roughly 2.2× the PSA 9 comp. That's a meaningful but compressed gem premium. CGC has 920 copies on file with a 41.3% Grade 10 rate.

Run those numbers through the optimizer and the verdict is SKIP at PSA. Expected value works out to $513, less raw, less fees, less shipping, gets to a net of $-141.33 per card sent in. ROI is roughly -23% off the $625 raw cost.

Risk worth flagging: pop counts grow. If grading volume jumps in the next 12 months and the population doubles, the gem-rate denominator gets larger and Grade 10 comps soften. Hard to call where this trends if a major influencer pushes a fresh round of submissions, or if a grader rolls out a service-tier promo that pulls in a wave of marginal copies. My read: the math holds at current pop counts. Watch the 12-month grading volume — that's the lever that reshapes this thesis. For comparable exposure in the same era, look at Scyther, Rowlet. Both sit in the same rarity neighborhood and respond to similar collector dynamics.

Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting loose comps as of 2026-05-04. Coverage expands when our commercial pop-data partner integration completes.